Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 0.635797 0.825498 1.040268 1.298282 1.596720 1.928115 2.320941
2025-03-30 0.400969 0.642152 0.951414 1.362464 1.880242 2.497521 3.275550
2025-04-06 0.245498 0.495485 0.859784 1.391539 2.111929 3.020851 4.220873
2025-04-13 0.135859 0.363037 0.744993 1.357655 2.245941 3.424062 5.041466
2025-04-20 0.077654 0.282174 0.678670 1.370817 2.432977 3.898807 5.972450
2025-04-27 0.042571 0.221406 0.623847 1.384971 2.613497 4.367389 6.910939
2025-05-04 0.018524 0.160726 0.545542 1.341114 2.694844 4.694449 7.665650
2025-05-11 0.006268 0.113479 0.473348 1.289387 2.751169 4.980373 8.367007
2025-05-18 0.001954 0.087396 0.437968 1.296665 2.898398 5.401107 9.266616
2025-05-25 0.000203 0.060927 0.385653 1.257349 2.959000 5.689177 9.981174
2025-06-01 0.000015 0.052797 0.385680 1.327691 3.213200 6.281647 11.150663
2025-06-08 NaN 0.039523 0.358339 1.330712 3.344614 6.684859 12.050903
2025-06-15 NaN 0.036403 0.371304 1.432936 3.669422 7.413483 13.464257
2025-06-22 NaN 0.030801 0.369527 1.499158 3.931291 8.050985 14.758829
2025-06-29 NaN 0.023805 0.354396 1.528933 4.125145 8.584571 15.909815
2025-07-06 NaN 0.015121 0.317017 1.492163 4.185937 8.901217 16.738561
2025-07-13 NaN 0.010674 0.299646 1.505868 4.345592 9.384260 17.829438
2025-07-20 NaN 0.007362 0.284026 1.520783 4.506888 9.872687 18.935830
2025-07-27 NaN 0.003755 0.250825 1.473942 4.535738 10.135914 19.696691
2025-08-03 NaN 0.001532 0.218216 1.418716 4.540307 10.354779 20.389765
2025-08-10 NaN 0.000759 0.205254 1.426460 4.680248 10.810783 21.462990
2025-08-17 NaN 0.000179 0.180616 1.384482 4.705859 11.065213 22.219332
2025-08-24 NaN 0.000124 0.186254 1.459541 4.999559 11.801317 23.755666